Is Ryan Lindgren seeing a sharp decline?

Ryan Lindgren, a defenseman for the New York Rangers, has been a pivotal figure on the team’s blue line since his acquisition from the Boston Bruins in 2018. Known for his physicality, grit, and partnership with Adam Fox, Lindgren’s contributions have been significant. However, in later seasons, his performance has seen a notable decline, influenced by injuries and evolving team dynamics.

Injury Struggles and Impact on Performance

Lindgren’s aggressive style of play has made him susceptible to injuries. In March 2024, he suffered a lower-body injury after a collision during a game against the Islanders, sidelining him for several weeks.

This was not an isolated incident; throughout his tenure with the Rangers, Lindgren has faced multiple injuries, limiting his ability to maintain consistent performance levels.

The cumulative effect of these injuries has been evident in his on-ice metrics. During the 2023-24 season, Lindgren’s expected goal share (xGF) dropped to 45.0%, a significant decline from 53.4% in the previous season. When not paired with Fox, his xGF further decreased to 40.8%, highlighting challenges in driving play independently.

Notable Statistics

Aside from the expected goal share (xGF) dropping, Lindgren has seen a statistical decline that is evident since the 2022-2023 season. His pts/game has gone down from 0.29 to 0.122, to 0.28. Notably, shots on goal per game has gone down from 1.19 to 0.96 to 0.74 which isn’t necessarily bad if he is assisting more plays, assists per game has gone from 0.27, to 0.18 to 0.23 showing a complete downturn in production.

The only statistics that seems to improve for Lindgren over the years has been his penalty minutes per game, which have drastically gone down from 0.71 to 0.47 and at last, this year he’s averaged 0.68.

Contractual Decisions and Future with the Rangers

In July 2024, Lindgren and the Rangers agreed to a one-year, $4.5 million contract, avoiding arbitration. This short-term deal positioned Lindgren as an unrestricted free agent in the summer of 2025, raising questions about his long-term future with the team.

Analysts have debated the prudence of extending Lindgren’s tenure with the Rangers. Given his injury history and declining performance metrics, some suggest that the team should consider moving on to free up salary cap space and invest in younger, more durable defensemen.

Team Dynamics and Defensive Challenges

The Rangers’ defensive struggles during this period have not been solely due to Lindgren’s decline. The team, as a whole, faced challenges, with key players underperforming and defensive pairings failing to find cohesion. Lindgren’s injuries and subsequent absences further strained the team’s defensive capabilities, leading to increased pressure on goaltenders and highlighting the need for strategic adjustments.

Ryan Lindgren’s decline from 2023 to 2025 underscores the challenges faced by NHL players whose playing styles subject them to frequent physical tolls. As the Rangers approach the 2025 offseason, they are confronted with critical decisions regarding roster composition, salary cap management, and the integration of emerging talent. Lindgren’s situation serves as a case study in balancing player loyalty with the pragmatic needs of a competitive sports franchise.